I’m sure BJP will loose in UP also

Updated on November 15, 2015 in Political Discussions
10 on November 8, 2015

Reasons :
1: No Local leader good enough to be projected as CM candidate
2: Presence of people like Yogi Adityanath and Sageet som
3: Caste/ religion politics is similar to Bihar
4: Akhilesh Govt is not that bad Except law and order.

In 2014 election I tool leave and went back to UP to vote for BJP, But I’m not gonna do this in state election if they don’t declare good CM candidate and stop their go to pakistan , cow , beef politics.

  • Liked by
Reply
0 on November 9, 2015

Well  there are many leaders but as you said none of them CM image type.Well any way people (read bharmins upper cast)are going to vote for maya only(just like upper cast did in bihar today).

And BJP wont be able to shut mouths of yogi Adityanath and Sageet som or for that matter  marshi.even if they are able to control

media would always have always prachi

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 9, 2015

I also agree .It will be tough for bjp untill unless they stop this religion based politics . Modiji won election on the basis of vikas but some cheap communal leaders portraying a bad image Please stop politics on the basis of religion and caste

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 9, 2015

Lessons should be learnt from this massive defeat…
1. Cant agree there are no good leaders to be CM candidate. Leaders can be created overnight if central leadership feels so. Is it difficult to find a few Honest, Young, Dedicated, Energetic n Good Orators and probably from any desired community in whole of UP? Even Modi was like it one day. With all the official machinery with them the leader can be created overnight. All it needs is his/her dedication and media publicity. Hardik Patel(though for wrong reasons) was an overnight creation.
2. When a leader is created the leadership should throw its weight behind him/her right now(after his publicity).
3. Dissidence shall be there but dissidence now shall have no impact on elections coming 2 years from now.
4.PM is required to campaign for local leader in assembly elections and he should leave a lot of MEIN  in campaigning for local elections.
5. a bottom up approach is required for winning elections not top down approach.
6. 2 elections in J&K and i surveyed at least 100 families none of the BJP (so called prabharis n panna prabharis) members came to ask for votes for any of them.
Everything is possible but all that is required is intent and BJPs (Amit Shahz exactly) approach was like preparing for exam a day before it. When most of the parties have visited homes they start appointing state in-charges.
 M so sad from the result that i tried to remove my frustration by writing these lines. only if i had writing skills there was much more to say…

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 9, 2015
  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 9, 2015

Align with Mayawati. They have 42% vote share in UP. With BSP’s 20%, they can afford to lose 10% votes from their 2014 vote share and still win.

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 12, 2015

Why so bearish? Has BJP ever contested Bihar on its own? UP is a much more familiar turf for BJP. On balance, BJP has done extremely well in the state elections following LS 2014. It has won against odds in Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Haryana and J&K; but in the process conceded Bihar & Delhi. I’m sure that the BJP leadership would be quite happy with their success. We have overly high expectations from the party. Who knows, maybe BJP could emerge the principal opposition in WB, Kerala and perhaps even Assam. Stay optimistic dude.
 
Also, why the intolerance towards rustic folks who choose to comment on matters such as beef/Pakistan etc? Let’s not behave like liberals here. I believe that Yogi, Sakshi, Sadhvi etc, should have an equal voice as Girish Karnad, Hasan Suroor, Guha , SRK etc.
Of course, it would help if BJP sympathizers avoid demonizing the Christians/Muslims, who will anyway ALWAYS vote for the Congress/allies.

PS: I’m a big fan of Yogi’s straight-talk. I also enjoy comments by Sakshi, Sadhvi etc. They’re an essential counter-balance to the rabid Hindu hate propounded by MSM

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 13, 2015

Bjp’s priority should be to give a strong msg to the media who are busy in negative publicity. There has been many achievements of the govt. in 18 months but we hear those issues which are no way related to the central govt but they are held responsible for it. Lies spread by the media are perceived quickly by the people and by the time govt clarifies its too late and the damage has been done. Elections are more about perceptions in our country.

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 13, 2015

Paucity of saleable local leaders coupled with foot-in-mouth proclivity of looney brigade can prove to be a nemesis for the bjp,especially when the top leadership is seems to be either unwilling or unable to rein them in. And not to forget the round the clock machinations of “secular” brigade.

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 14, 2015

The problem in Bihar and Delhi was the opposition vote share combined one by default and other by alliance. However in UP the BJP vote share during 2014 Lok Sabha was more than the SP and BSP combined. Based on 2014 vote shares:

Bihar: BJP 29.4% vs RJD 20.1% and JDU 15.8% – loss if they combine

Delhi: BJP 46.4% vs Congress 15.1% and AAP 32.9% – loss if their vote share combines

However looking at UP a different picture emerges:

Uttar Pradesh: BJP 42.3% vs SP 22.2% and BSP 19.6% : Still BJP is more.

However, I think the BJP should make friendly gestures to Mayawati and split Mulayam’s MY vote bank. Also they should quantify people who vote Modi at centre and state leader in state to have an accurate assessment.

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
0 on November 15, 2015

Why do we need to be pessimistic. I feel in the long run, if the opposition combines, the entire system will become a two party system and all these local parties will loose their independent identities, which is going to be really good for this country.
Secondly I agree with Mr jatinder singh on point 5 &6. Har ghar dastak was nothing but replica of Panna pramukh. But Amit shah needs to chk whether people at ground level are working or not. To my experience they are not. People in BJP at ground level are too lazy and feels that let modiji do all the work and these local leaders reap the benefit. That is not going to happen. So sooner Amit shah start tightening and ask for accountability from local leaders better would be for the party.

  • Liked by
Reply
Cancel
Loading more replies